CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2023-08-18T19:48:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2023-08-18T19:48ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/26559/-1
CME Note: Bright CME seen to the NW in SOHO LASCO C2 and C3. There is a data gap in STEREO A COR2 imagery for most of this event, it is possibly seen in later COR2A difference imagery frames after the data gap ends at 2023-08-18T23:23Z. The source of this CME is a C3.7 class flare from AR13409 (~N21W41) peaking at 2023-08-18T19:30Z with associated brief dimming to the NW of the AR starting around 2023-08-18T19:24Z, best seen in SDO/AIA 193. There is also very quick moving/opening field lines around the same time in SDO/AIA 193 to the NW. There is no obvious arrival across all solar wind parameters.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2023-08-22T12:00Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 1.0 - 2.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 64.43 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2023-08-19T19:34Z
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